As we approach the final week of the regular season our mark is 85-83-5 after last week’s 7-6 record. That 3-10 week is just killing the profits.
#10 USC (-3.5) vs. #12 Stanford
The Trojans have resembled the team many expected in the preseason over the last month and while Stanford looked good against Notre Dame last week, they’ll be tested through the air against USC.
#14 UCF vs. #20 Memphis (+7)
For all of the hype UCF has received, Memphis has been equally impressive this season except for their loss to the Golden Knights. UCF has a lot of distractions with Scott Frost flirting with other jobs, so look for the Tigers to enact some revenge at tally the outright win and earn the Group of Five’s birth in the Peach Bowl.
#3 Oklahoma (-7) vs. #11 TCU – O/U: 63.5 – OVER
The Horned Frogs were able to slow down OU in the second half of their previous matchup, but the damage had already been done. It’s tough to beat a team twice in a season, especially a Gary Patterson coached team, but the Sooner offense is unstoppable and TCU doesn’t have the firepower to stay competitive in a shootout.
Florida State vs. Louisiana-Monroe (+27)
Florida State initially had no interest to reschedule this game that was cancelled in September, but now the Seminoles are so desperate to make a bowl game for the 28th straight year that they found a way to reschedule the contest. With rumors surrounding Jimbo Fisher’s future and what can best be described as a spring game atmosphere, the ‘Noles will sleepwalk while the Warbirds will look at this as their Super Bowl and stay within the number.
Georgia State (-6.5) vs. Idaho
It’s a thin slate when you pick this matchup, but the Vandals have to travel 2500 miles and they are just a 6.5 underdog? The Panthers take care of business and tally their seventh win of the season.
#2 Auburn vs. #6 Georgia (+2.5)
At a certain point, Auburn has to run out of gas. They have played exceptionally well this last three weeks, but Kerryon Johnson is banged up and UGA has revenge on their mind. The Bulldog defense won’t allow Jarrett Stidham to put up 40 again and the Georgia running attack will be the difference as UGA punches their ticket to The Playoff.
Boise State vs. #25 Fresno State – O/U: 50.5 – OVER
Although this game is a little off the radar, it is as compelling of a matchup on Saturday’s slate. Jeff Tedford has a strong case for Coach of the Year for the job he has done with the Bulldogs. These two teams met last year with Fresno State coming out on top at home. This game will be on the blue turf and the Broncos are an 8.5 favorite. I can’t wrap my mind around that line, but there will be points.
#1 Clemson (-9.5) vs. #7 Miami – O/U: 46.5 – OVER
It has become apparent over the last few weeks that the Hurricanes’ success in big games this season was a product of the electric atmosphere at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami is a different team on the road and with Rosier struggling and the ‘Canes missing two of their top three receivers, the Tigers will win easily in Charlotte.
#8 Ohio State (-5) vs. #4 Wisconsin
Here is a quote from my preseason college football predictions:
“Just as Iowa used a weak Big Ten schedule to fraudulently climb the polls in 2015, Wisconsin will use a similar tactic this year. Now, the 2017 Badgers are a much better team than Iowa was in 2015, but National Championship contenders? Absolutely not.
However, the Badgers will use a weak non-conference schedule and a more than favorable in-conference slate to have themselves in the National Championship conversation well into November.
The Badgers will go undefeated before getting run out of the building by Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game.”
Time for the Buckeyes to finish the job.