Champ got knocked out last week with a 3-10-1 mark, which brings the season total to 56-59-4. Minor setback for a major comeback.
Utah (-6.5) vs. UCLA
UCLA was beat down by Washington last week and the Bruins are dead. Josh Rosen has his eyes set on the NFL and the administration as their eyes on a new coach.
Tulsa vs. #23 Memphis (-12)
With the exception of their loss to UCF, Memphis has been one of the most impressive group of five teams in the country throughout the season. The Tigers have been rolling with an average margin of victory of 19 points in their four conference wins.
Missouri vs. Florida – O/U 61.5: UNDER
Missouri’s offense has been firing on all cylinders the last three weeks. While two of those games were against Idaho and UConn, the Tigers were able to put up 21 points in the first half against Georgia. Expect the Gators to come out fired up with interim coach Randy Shannon at the helm and keep the Mizzou offense in check. We all know Florida’s offensive struggles, so expect a low-scoring tight game in Columbia.
#16 Mississippi State (-28) vs. UMass
The Bulldogs are 6-2 and have won their six games by an average of 30+ points. Nick Fitzgerald will have the offense firing on all cylinders in a warm-up for Alabama the following week. This the second game of what is one of the most unusual home-and-home agreements.
Texas A&M vs. #14 Auburn – O/U 51.5: OVER
Auburn is averaging 44 points per game in their four SEC games. The Aggies have their backs against the wall and a loss Saturday could spell the end of the Kevin Sumlin era in College Station. Expect a high-scoring affair.
Kansas vs. Baylor (-8)
Taking an 0-8 team has an eight-point road favorite may be a once in a lifetime opportunity. The Bears have been at least competitive in some of their losses, while Kansas has lost their seven games by an average of 28 points. The Jayhawks were competitive in a rivalry game last week vs. Kansas State, but look for Baylor to walk in to Lawrence and win the 2017 Toilet Bowl.
Indiana (+12.5) vs. #9 Wisconsin
Despite losing to Maryalnd last week, Indiana plays the Big Ten’s elite tough. Their move is to be competitive and find a new way to lose late. The Badgers looked very pedestrian vs. Illinois a week ago and the Hoosiers represent the best offense UW has faced this season.
#1 Georgia vs. South Carolina (+24)
Will Muschamp quietly has the Gamecocks at 6-2 and in tie for second in the SEC East. The Bulldogs are coming off a dominant performance against Florida last week, but this is South Carolina’s Super Bowl. No matter the rankings, this rivalry game is always close. This series has also produced one of the greatest Steve Spurrier quotes. The game used to always be played in the first few weeks of the season, but was moved a few years ago. “I don’t know. I sort of always liked playing them that second game because you could always count on them having two or three key players suspended.”
Iowa (+17.5) vs. #5 Ohio State
The Buckeyes finally tallied a big win last week to help them move up in the polls. Ohio State has to be wary of a letdown this week as they travel to Iowa City, a place where Penn State was nearly upset in September. The Hawkeyes have the defense to keep the game close, but lack the offensive firepower to pull of the upset.
#20 N.C. State (+8) vs. #4 Clemson
The Wolfpack were a short field goal away from upsetting Clemson in Death Valley last year. Most of that same roster in back for N.C. State for what will be a de facto ACC Atlantic title game. Although they were beaten soundly by Notre Dame last week, N.C. State has the defense to keep Kelly Bryan in check and quarterback Ryan Finley is efficient and rarely turns the ball over. The difference between last week and this week for N.C. State will be playing in Carter-Finley – a hornet’s nest for highly-ranked opponents.
#11 Oklahoma State vs. #5 Oklahoma (+2.5)
Both teams possess a tremendous amount of firepower on offense and while the OU defense has been porous, Oklahoma State’s defense is coming off their best two performances of the season in road wins over Texas and West Virginia. That being said, Baker Mayfield presents a different type of test for the Cowboys and OU has had State’s number by winning 12 of the last 14 matchups in Bedlam.
Kentucky (-3.5) vs. Ole Miss
This feels like I am stepping into a trap, but after Ole Miss choked away the Arkansas game, I can’t see them going on the road and getting a win. Kentucky beat a decimated Tennessee team last week and aren’t as good as their 6-2 record would indicate, but the Rebels have yet to register a road win this season.
#10 Miami vs. #13 Virginia Tech (-2.5)
The Hokies represent the toughest test Miami has faced this season. The Hurricanes’ undefeated season is hanging on by a thread after close calls with Florida State and Georgia Tech and last week’s dismal performance vs. North Carolina. A win here could propel Virginia Tech into the top-10, put the in the diver’s seat in the ACC Coastal, and have them squarely in the playoff conversation.
#2 Alabama vs. #19 LSU – O/U 48.5 – UNDER
In the annual slugfest between the Crimson Tide and Tigers, points are always hard to come by. The Tide will roll in this game, but LSU’s defense will give them all they can handle.
#12 Washington (-17.5) vs. Oregon
This is the same line the Huskies had last week vs. UCLA and they dominated the Bruins. The week prior, UCLA beat Oregon, so the transivitive property suggests UW will cover easily here. Washington knows they have to win in an impressive fashion to make a impact on the committee’s thought process.
#17 USC vs. #22 Arizona – O/U 73: OVER
Pac 12 After Dark with Sam Darnold and Khalil Tate? It would be a crime not to bet the over.