Tallied an 8-7-1 mark last week, now .500 on the dot 44-44-3.
Missouri (-14.5) vs. Idaho – O/U: 62 – OVER
Not much to say about this game other than Missouri is bad, but if they can put up points against Georgia, then they can put up more than enough to distance themselves from the visiting Vandals.
Texas (+7) vs. #10 Oklahoma State – O/U: 64.5 – OVER
The Cowboys have been somewhat forgotten since their loss to TCU, while Texas has improved drastically since their opening week implosion vs. Maryland. The Longhorns have lost close games to the best teams on their schedule, USC and Oklahoma, and expect Saturday’s tilt vs. OSU to be another close contest.
#5 Wisconsin (-24) vs. Maryland
Wisconsin is not explosive on offense, but they have a way of bullying inferior competition (AKA their entire schedule) with their offensive line and running game. Since a win at Minnesota in his first start, Maryland third-string QB Max Bortenschlager has been a liability for the Terps and a trip to Madison won’t help his progression.
Florida State (-6.5) vs. Louisville
Which unit is worse, Louisville’s defense or Florida State’s offense? Although FSU’s offense has struggles at times behind freshman QB James Blackman, the Cardinals just gave up 45 points to Boston College at home – that’s a new stratosphere of ineptitude. The Cardinals look to be in the midst of a downward trajectory for the rest of the season, while the ‘Noles are trying to salvage theirs.
#1 Alabama (-36) vs. Tennessee
That is as disrespectful of a line as I’ve ever seen. In fact, this is the largest underdog the Vols have ever been. I am not betting against Alabama for the remainder of the season and there is too much dysfunction in Knoxville for the Vols to put up any legitimate fight.
#16 Virginia Tech (-21) vs. North Carolina
The Tar Heels are the worst team in the ACC and their defense might be the worst in the country. Va Tech is coming off a bye and UNC is the perfect medicine to start off the second half of the season.
Navy (+7.5) vs. #20 UCF – O/U: 64.5 – OVER
UCF has been one of the most impressive teams in the country this season, but facing Navy and the triple option is a different test. This will be the first two meetings between the two programs and while the Golden Knights have superior talent and athletes, the Midshipmen know how to keep these games close, especially at home.
Tulane (+12) vs. #16 South Florida
The Green Wave have a dynamic running game to keep Quinton Flowers and the South Florida offense off the field. This is USF’s third road game of the season, but by far their biggest road test. Tulane will provide the biggest challenge to USF before their in-state clash with UCF the Friday after Thanksgiving.
#13 Notre Dame vs. #11 USC – O/U: 65.5 – UNDER
A close game is in store for these two old rivals. Both have capabilities of scoring points, but both teams are facing their toughest defensive test to date. The Trojans have explosive weapons on offense, but have a penchant for turning the ball over, while the Irish running game will take time off the clock.
#2 Penn State vs. #19 Michigan (+9.5)
After all of the criticisms the Wolverines have received over the past two weeks, the best thing that could happen to them is being written off in this matchup. Harbaugh relished the underdog role (See: USC-Stanford 2007) and will give the overrated and untested Nittany Lions all they can handle Saturday.
#15 Washington State (-10.5) vs. Colorado
With a 4-3 record that includes losses to Washington, Arizona, and UCLA and without a quality win, Colorado has not come close to backing up their PAC 12 South title from a year ago. The Cougars put forth one of the most listless performances of the season in their loss to Cal last week, but expect Luke Falk and Wazzu to bounce back at home.