Had the first losing week last week with a 3-7 mark. Less than good. Overall, 27-16-1 on the season
Houston vs. #5 Louisville (-14)
What once was a potential playoff play-in game has now been relegated to mostly an afterthought. This game, however, will be the last time Louisville and Lamar Jackson will have the national television spotlight so look for them to make an emphatic statement for the Heisman and their national championship credentials
Troy (-8.5) vs. Arkansas State
The Fun Belt burned me last week, but Troy may be the most underrated team in the country. It’s criminal that they aren’t ranked. The Trojans only loss was at Clemson and they kept it close for most of that game.
Cincinnati vs. Memphis (-7.5)
The wheels are coming off the Bearcats and the days of Tommy Tuberville at the help are numbered. While the Tigers aren’t having the same type of season they had last year, they still boast a potent offense and will prey on Cincinnati’s battered secondary.
Baylor (+2) vs. Kansas State
Even with Seth Russell hurt, that’s a weird fuckin line. Call me a sucker, but the game is still in Waco and Baylor’s system should be enough to put up at least 30.
#18 Nebraska (-13) vs. Maryland
Both of these teams worked their way to an impressive start, but both of these teams have fallen back to earth a bit. Still, Maryland does not have the capabilities to keep it close in a big time atmosphere.
Notre Dame (-1) vs. Virginia Tech, Under 55
This will be the biggest test to ND’s revamped defense, but they will have the aid of snowy and windy conditions in South Bend. These two teams have great offenses, but the conditions will limit the points.
Syracuse vs. #17 Florida State, Over 64
The Seminole athletes on artificial turf will be something to watch. The Orange have no defense, but can score some points.
Minnesota (+2) vs. Northwestern
The Gophers were pegged as threats to win the Big Ten West at the beginning of the season. Those prognostications have not come to fruition, but they still shouldn’t be an underdog at home to Northwestern.
Wake Forest (+22.5) vs. #4 Clemson
Wake Forest has a strong defense and was able to keep Lamar Jackson in-check a week ago. Clemson will have a bit of a hangover after suffering their first loss since 2014 last week.
Florida International (+2.5) vs. Marshall
Weird game to bet on right? There’s a method. FIU fired Ron Turner in October and they just recently hired Butch Davis this week, who won a national championship at Miami (and also nearly gave UNC football the death penalty). FIU knows their new coach will be in the building and watching, so they’ll want to put forth a strong first impression.
#6 Washington vs. Arizona State, Over 65
Washington will be mad after last week’s loss and Arizona State has no defense – the Huskies might reach that total by themselves.
#14 West Virginia vs. #9 Oklahoma (-3.5)
After suffering some early season struggles, Oklahoma is getting hot at the right time. It might not be enough to squeak into the playoffs, but a win Saturday in Morgantown will setup a Bedlam for the Big XII. Their defense is clearly their Achilles Heel, but the Mountaineers don’t have the firepower to hang.
#8 Penn State (-28) vs. Rutgers
Hot Take: not a big fan of institutional cover-ups of child molestation, so tough to pick Penn State here, but maybe that can contextualize how truly awful Rutgers is that I am willing to overlook an institutional cover-up of child molestation and pick PSU.
#13 USC (-13.5) vs. UCLA
Other than Alabama, USC may be the hottest team in the country right now. Usually, this would be primed for a letdown after winning at UW last week, but the Trojans are simply that good have a tremendous amount of firepower on the offensive side of the ball. UCLA has been overrated per usual this year and this will be a home game in name only for the Bruins as there will be more Trojan fans in the Rose Bowl.
Air Force (-10) vs. San Jose State
The Falcons bring their usual triple option attack to the table and manhandled SJSU a year ago, while the Spartans are annually one of the worst D1 teams. Not much else to say.
Browns vs. Steelers (-8)
Steelers will be angry after blowing the lead last week vs. the Cowboys and have their season on the line, while the Browns are the Browns.