Last week was a banner week for The Otter Room. Our friend Beau got married, but more importantly we went 12-3 in the weekly picks bringing this year’s record to 18-4-1. Wassup wassup.
Iowa St. vs. #14 Oklahoma (-20.5)
Have been riding the Oklahoma bandwagon for a few weeks now. After a rough start to the season, the Sooners have established themselves as the class of the Big XII. The Cyclones have had a knack for knocking off ranked teams at home, but OU cruises.
Navy vs. Notre Dame, Over 65
Every time ND plays Navy, neither team can make consistent defensive stops. The triple option puzzle is impossible to solve for most of the country and Notre Dame’s offense can simply overpower the undersized front of Navy. I wouldn’t touch the line of ND -6.5, but the over is sure to hit. A more in depth preview will be on the site tomorrow.
Boston College vs. #7 Louisville (-24.5)
After looking invincible during most of the first half of the season, the Cardinals have looked very pedestrian in two of the last three weeks as they have escaped near-losses to Duke and Virginia. Boston College has one of the worst offenses in the country, so even if Lamar Jackson isn’t clicking on all cylinders, it is hard to see the staying within the number.
Miami vs. Pitt (+3)
Miami has been in a tailspin since having the game-tying extra pint blocked vs. Florida State. The Hurricanes have no offensive line, which plays into the hands of Pat Narduzzi’s philosophy.
Wake Forest (-3) vs. Virginia
Wake Forest loss to Army at home last week, while UVA nearly pulled off one of the biggest upsets in school history. Look for that near miss to haunt the Cavaliers as they start slow in Winston-Salem.
#17 Baylor (-7.5) vs. TCU
This matchup was the most anticipated Big XII for the last four years, but with TCU struggling, this contest is hardly a blip on the national radar. The line is much lower than I thought it would be, which makes me a little nervous, but Baylor still has a conference title to play for, while TCU is looking for an identity.
Arkansas (+5.5) vs. #11 Florida
Florida is the most overrated team in the country. Their best win came last week over a very mediocre Georgia team, while the rest of their wins are over the likes of Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and North Texas to name a few. Not to mention the loss at Tennessee is looking worse by the minute. The Gators still have the inside track to Atlanta, but Saturday will be their stiffest test to date. Not sure if the Razorbacks will pull the outright upset, but they will keep it inside the number.
N.C. State vs. #22 Florida State (-5.5)
I freely admit this is a trap line and I am getting suckered into it. Last week, N.C. State handed Boston College their first ACC win in two years, while the Seminoles nearly upset Clemson. So why are the Noles only a 5.5 favorite? The Pack have a tendency to play up to their opponent (i.e. the near upset of Clemson), but they have been too inconsistent to trust. With the ACC title out of reach, there are some questions as to what FSU has to play for, but even with those factors I can’t see N.C. State hanging with them.
Kentucky vs. Georgia (-2)
It has been a rough start to the Kirby Smart-era in Athens and Kentucky could very well be the better team as they stand at No. 2 in SEC east. All that being said, Kentucky has just one win in Athens since 1978 and that type of history is too much to overcome.
Wyoming (-5) vs. Utah State
The Cowboys had one of the biggest upsets last week at they upended Boise State. In his third year, former North Dakota State coach Craig Bohl has created a resurgence for Wyoming. This has the potential for a letdown game, but Utah State isn’t good enough to stay within one score.
Cal vs. #5 Washington, Over 78
I have two rules in life – always take the over when Cal’s involved and respect #pac12afterdark